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September

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – September 2016

01 September 2016 Per Stirling Capital Outlook

As David Rosenberg, Chief Economist for Gluskin Sheff, recently observed, “summer vacation is over.” Summer is known for being a quiescent period in the markets, when trading volumes are very low and Wall Street’s primary decision-makers are off vacationing in the Hamptons. This summer was even calmer than usual. As evidence, the Standard & Poor’s […]

27

November

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – November 2015

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook - November 2015

  In December, we are likely to witness an extraordinarily unusual scenario of a major economic power (the United States) not only raising rates for the first time in over nine years, but also tightening monetary policy at a time when virtually all of the remaining industrialized world is moving their monetary policy in the […]

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July

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – July 2015

1 - Per Stirling Capital Outlook July 2015

It has been said that, while you cannot predict what the markets are going to do, you oftentimes can predict what investors are going to do and, from our perspective, that is just the other side of the same coin.  Indeed, this premise of investor predictability has developed into alternative investment approaches that can provide […]

06

July

Special Report: Greece

Greece Special Report - 1

Back in the 1980s, there was a famous credit market analyst named Ed Hart who used to speak of times and circumstances when “the demand for certainty far exceeded the available supply”.  That description applies perfectly to the current crisis in Greece due to its many moving parts, its potential for catalyzing unforeseen consequences, and […]

26

June

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – June 2015

1 - Per Stirling Capital Outlook June 2015

In 1841, Scottish journalist Charles Mackay first published his so-called “history of popular folly” titled Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds.  Among other things, it examined many of history’s most speculative asset bubbles, including the South Sea Company bubble of 1711–1720, the Mississippi Company bubble of 1719–1720, and the Dutch “tulip mania” of […]

29

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – May 2015

Per Stirling Capital Outlook - May 2015 #55 - 1

  When the Federal Reserve first launched its quantitative easing program back in November of 2008, they clearly understood the limitations of such programs.  Chairman Bernanke himself publicly acknowledged that they probably would not have a direct impact on the real economy, and that the Fed would need to instead rely upon the secondary and […]

05

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2015

Per Stirling Capital Outlook - April 2015 #1

Both economics and capital markets analysis are, at their core, based upon the study of history.  Everything that analysts, economists, strategists and investors know, or think that they know, is based upon the premise that the past offers some insight into the future, and that it is reasonable to expect for both markets and economies […]

01

April

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – March 2015

Ancient Greek playwright Sophocles wrote: “No one loves the messenger who brings bad news.”  To wit, Sophocles would have had great difficulty explaining the domestic stock market over the past six years as, ever since the Fed expanded its initial quantitative easing (QE) program in March of 2009, investors have not only disavowed this seemingly […]

02

March

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – February 2015

February Capital Outlook - image 1

When Greek Finance Minister Varoufakis was appointed to power a month ago, he launched into negotiations with “the troika” (the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund) regarding Greece’s bailout program with all the hubris and tactical aggression of an ancient Spartan warrior (or an expert in the cold war theory […]


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