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June

23

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – May 2019

American author Mark Twain observed that, “History does not repeat itself, but it oftentimes rhymes”.  For evidence of just how insightful this perspective is, one needs to look no further than the Winter 1982 edition of Foreign Affairs Magazine, which noted that: “President Reagan won his office in part because he convinced the electorate that […]

29

April

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2019

One of the core premises on which monetary policy is based is that there is a direct relationship between economic growth and inflation.  More specifically, prevailing economic theory maintains that strong economic data ultimately leads to both “full employment” and the full utilization of an economy’s productive capacity, and that both economic conditions, once they […]

29

March

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – March 2019

If there is any single sentence that epitomizes how the Federal Reserve operated in the pre-Bernanke era, it is probably the reply given by then Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan during a 1987 testimony to the Senate Banking Committee.  He responded to a question by saying, “If I seem unduly clear to you, you must have […]

06

July

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – July 2016

Per Stirling Capital Outlook July 2016 - 01

We have noted on many occasions within the confines of these reports that capital markets thrive on certainty and struggle mightily when confronted with uncertainty, because investors know how to properly price securities when they understand the perceived risks and potential rewards associated with any given market environment, but tend to price in the perceived […]

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July

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – July 2015

1 - Per Stirling Capital Outlook July 2015

It has been said that, while you cannot predict what the markets are going to do, you oftentimes can predict what investors are going to do and, from our perspective, that is just the other side of the same coin.  Indeed, this premise of investor predictability has developed into alternative investment approaches that can provide […]

06

July

Special Report: Greece

Greece Special Report - 1

Back in the 1980s, there was a famous credit market analyst named Ed Hart who used to speak of times and circumstances when “the demand for certainty far exceeded the available supply”.  That description applies perfectly to the current crisis in Greece due to its many moving parts, its potential for catalyzing unforeseen consequences, and […]

26

June

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – June 2015

1 - Per Stirling Capital Outlook June 2015

In 1841, Scottish journalist Charles Mackay first published his so-called “history of popular folly” titled Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds.  Among other things, it examined many of history’s most speculative asset bubbles, including the South Sea Company bubble of 1711–1720, the Mississippi Company bubble of 1719–1720, and the Dutch “tulip mania” of […]

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May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – May 2015

Per Stirling Capital Outlook - May 2015 #55 - 1

  When the Federal Reserve first launched its quantitative easing program back in November of 2008, they clearly understood the limitations of such programs.  Chairman Bernanke himself publicly acknowledged that they probably would not have a direct impact on the real economy, and that the Fed would need to instead rely upon the secondary and […]

05

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2015

Per Stirling Capital Outlook - April 2015 #1

Both economics and capital markets analysis are, at their core, based upon the study of history.  Everything that analysts, economists, strategists and investors know, or think that they know, is based upon the premise that the past offers some insight into the future, and that it is reasonable to expect for both markets and economies […]


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