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25

February

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – February

Legendary investor Warren Buffett once noted, very insightfully, that “only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.”  Mr. Buffet’s point is that it rarely becomes evident during a roaring bull market who is overly leveraged, overly aggressive, or improperly diversified.  This is particularly true after extended periods when there has […]

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26

January

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – January

In market analysis, there tends to be very little difference between being early and being wrong, and there may be no better example of this fact than the televised December 1996 speech given by then Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, in which he coined the now-infamous phrase “irrational exuberance”.  At the time, as is the […]

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17

December

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – December

Among a myriad of other things, the year 2020 will be remembered as a period that featured an unprecedented use of the word “unprecedented”.  The extraordinary nature of this year is evidenced in everything from unprecedented pandemic case counts and the most ambitious vaccine campaign in U.S. history to a record election turnout, and from […]

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24

November

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – November

“‘Ahhh, this porridge is just right’ Goldilocks said happily and she ate it all up”. As we have conjectured over recent commentaries, the equity markets rallied strongly in response to the increased, albeit incomplete, political certainty that the election provided.  In fact, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index enjoyed its biggest post-election rally since 1932. […]

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27

October

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – October

With the election now only one week away, this will be the last Outlook that concentrates on this contentious subject.  At least, the equity markets had better hope that is the case because, if the election is still a point of significant uncertainty and market relevance a month from now, we would anticipate that we […]

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29

September

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – September

On January 4th of last year, at the annual meeting of the American Economic Association, former Federal Reserve Chairwoman, Janet Yellen, stated “I don’t think [economic] expansions just die of old age”, only to be upstaged by Former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who completed her statement by saying that, instead, they get “murdered” by […]

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25

August

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – August

In a November of 1947 speech, Winston Churchill famously noted that “no one pretends that democracy is perfect or all-wise. Indeed, it has been said that democracy is the worst form of Government, except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time.” One can only imagine what Churchill would think […]

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28

July

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – July

The Cambridge Dictionary defines the term “light at the end of the tunnel” as “signs of improvement in a situation that has been bad for a long time, or signs that a long and difficult piece of work is almost finished”.  From a medical, economic and societal perspective, we believe that there is growing evidence […]

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22

June

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – June

One of the traditional characteristics of equity markets is that they rarely spend much time priced at what most investors would consider to be “fair value”, and instead tend to trade back and forth between being undervalued and overvalued, relative to the economic fundamentals of the underlying companies.  These swings tend to take place over […]

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15

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – May 2020

One of the most time-honored and frequently recited Wall Street maxims came from renowned value investor Sir John Templeton, who famously observed that “The four most dangerous words in investing are, ‘it’s different this time.’” In this comment, Sir John is not suggesting that all bull and bear markets have the same catalysts, or even […]

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