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April

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2016

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook April 2016

Expectations and sentiment are incredibly important in regard to their influence on both the economy and the markets. In regard to markets, too much bullishness is bad, because it means that most of the potential buyers of securities have already bought, and that there is very little sideline cash remaining to drive the markets higher. […]

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February

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – February 2016

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook Feb 2016

It seems like, all of a sudden, television and print media are full of stories about how the “stock market” may be entering into a “bear market,” and each respective reporter references one of the two most popular benchmark indexes (the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index and the NASDAQ Composite), neither of which has yet […]

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December

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – December 2015

1 - Per Stirling Outlook December 2015

Warren Buffett famously noted that “only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.” This quote has particular relevance today as we are finally starting to see free-market pricing mechanisms at work, as market-distorting forces ranging from the Federal Reserve’s expansive monetary stimulus programs to the O.P.E.C. oil cartel are increasingly […]

27

November

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – November 2015

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook - November 2015

  In December, we are likely to witness an extraordinarily unusual scenario of a major economic power (the United States) not only raising rates for the first time in over nine years, but also tightening monetary policy at a time when virtually all of the remaining industrialized world is moving their monetary policy in the […]

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August

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – August 2015

1 - Per Stirling Capital Outlook August 2015

  Author Jacob Braude is quoted as saying, “Always behave like a duck – keep calm and unruffled on the surface but paddle like the devil underneath”.  The markets seem to be taking Mr. Braude’s advice to heart, as the impression that they give from above belies entirely what is going on beneath the surface […]

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June

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – June 2015

1 - Per Stirling Capital Outlook June 2015

In 1841, Scottish journalist Charles Mackay first published his so-called “history of popular folly” titled Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds.  Among other things, it examined many of history’s most speculative asset bubbles, including the South Sea Company bubble of 1711–1720, the Mississippi Company bubble of 1719–1720, and the Dutch “tulip mania” of […]

05

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2015

Per Stirling Capital Outlook - April 2015 #1

Both economics and capital markets analysis are, at their core, based upon the study of history.  Everything that analysts, economists, strategists and investors know, or think that they know, is based upon the premise that the past offers some insight into the future, and that it is reasonable to expect for both markets and economies […]

01

April

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – March 2015

Ancient Greek playwright Sophocles wrote: “No one loves the messenger who brings bad news.”  To wit, Sophocles would have had great difficulty explaining the domestic stock market over the past six years as, ever since the Fed expanded its initial quantitative easing (QE) program in March of 2009, investors have not only disavowed this seemingly […]

02

March

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – February 2015

February Capital Outlook - image 1

When Greek Finance Minister Varoufakis was appointed to power a month ago, he launched into negotiations with “the troika” (the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund) regarding Greece’s bailout program with all the hubris and tactical aggression of an ancient Spartan warrior (or an expert in the cold war theory […]


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