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January

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – January 2017

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook JAN 2017

To state the obvious, Donald Trump is not your average President, or even your average politician. He doesn’t look like a politician. He doesn’t act like a politician and he most certainly doesn’t think like a politician. If anything, he seems to view himself more as a corporate raider engaging in hostile takeovers or as […]

27

October

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – October 2016

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook - October 2016

The lexicon of investment terminology is full of animal metaphors, which range from the most basic of descriptors like “bull market” and “bear market” to highly evocative terms like a “dead cat bounce” and a “black swan.” This last term seems particularly relevant today, in light of the current election cycle. A “black swan” is a […]

06

July

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – July 2016

Per Stirling Capital Outlook July 2016 - 01

We have noted on many occasions within the confines of these reports that capital markets thrive on certainty and struggle mightily when confronted with uncertainty, because investors know how to properly price securities when they understand the perceived risks and potential rewards associated with any given market environment, but tend to price in the perceived […]

25

April

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2016

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook April 2016

Expectations and sentiment are incredibly important in regard to their influence on both the economy and the markets. In regard to markets, too much bullishness is bad, because it means that most of the potential buyers of securities have already bought, and that there is very little sideline cash remaining to drive the markets higher. […]

27

November

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – November 2015

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook - November 2015

  In December, we are likely to witness an extraordinarily unusual scenario of a major economic power (the United States) not only raising rates for the first time in over nine years, but also tightening monetary policy at a time when virtually all of the remaining industrialized world is moving their monetary policy in the […]

14

September

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – September 2015

1 - Per Stirling Capital Outlook September 2015

According to Greek mythology, Zeus created Pandora, as the first woman, as part of a plot to get revenge on two brothers who angered Zeus by restoring access to fire to the human race. When, according to Zeus’ plan, Pandora married one of the brothers, Zeus gave to her a box as a wedding gift, […]

31

July

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – July 2015

1 - Per Stirling Capital Outlook July 2015

It has been said that, while you cannot predict what the markets are going to do, you oftentimes can predict what investors are going to do and, from our perspective, that is just the other side of the same coin.  Indeed, this premise of investor predictability has developed into alternative investment approaches that can provide […]

26

June

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – June 2015

1 - Per Stirling Capital Outlook June 2015

In 1841, Scottish journalist Charles Mackay first published his so-called “history of popular folly” titled Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds.  Among other things, it examined many of history’s most speculative asset bubbles, including the South Sea Company bubble of 1711–1720, the Mississippi Company bubble of 1719–1720, and the Dutch “tulip mania” of […]

29

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – May 2015

Per Stirling Capital Outlook - May 2015 #55 - 1

  When the Federal Reserve first launched its quantitative easing program back in November of 2008, they clearly understood the limitations of such programs.  Chairman Bernanke himself publicly acknowledged that they probably would not have a direct impact on the real economy, and that the Fed would need to instead rely upon the secondary and […]

05

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2015

Per Stirling Capital Outlook - April 2015 #1

Both economics and capital markets analysis are, at their core, based upon the study of history.  Everything that analysts, economists, strategists and investors know, or think that they know, is based upon the premise that the past offers some insight into the future, and that it is reasonable to expect for both markets and economies […]


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