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June

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – June 2019

As anyone who has ever watched an old western movie can tell you, one could always count on the cavalry to come charging in at the last minute and “save the day”. For much of the past thirty years, at least in the economic realm, that responsibility has fallen on the shoulders of the world’s […]

23

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – May 2019

American author Mark Twain observed that, “History does not repeat itself, but it oftentimes rhymes”. For evidence of just how insightful this perspective is, one needs to look no further than the Winter 1982 edition of Foreign Affairs Magazine, which noted that: “President Reagan won his office in part because he convinced the electorate that […]

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29

April

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2019

One of the core premises on which monetary policy is based is that there is a direct relationship between economic growth and inflation. More specifically, prevailing economic theory maintains that strong economic data ultimately leads to both “full employment” and the full utilization of an economy’s productive capacity, and that both economic conditions, once they […]

Asia bear market bond markets bonds Brexit bull market bullish China debt deflation deregulation dollar domestic economy domestic equity Donald Trump emerging markets equity markets Europe European Central Bank European Union Fed Federal Reserve fiscal stimulus Greece inflation interest rates IRS Japan monetary policy Per Stirling protectionism QE quantitative easing rate hike recession retirement Russia S&P 500 tax tax reform Trump VIX volatility Yellen yield curve

29

March

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – March 2019

If there is any single sentence that epitomizes how the Federal Reserve operated in the pre-Bernanke era, it is probably the reply given by then Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan during a 1987 testimony to the Senate Banking Committee. He responded to a question by saying, “If I seem unduly clear to you, you must have […]

Asia bear market bond markets bonds Brexit bull market bullish China debt deflation deregulation dollar domestic economy domestic equity Donald Trump emerging markets equity markets Europe European Central Bank European Union Fed Federal Reserve fiscal stimulus Greece inflation interest rates IRS Japan monetary policy Per Stirling protectionism QE quantitative easing rate hike recession retirement Russia S&P 500 tax tax reform Trump VIX volatility Yellen yield curve

24

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – May 2017

We recognize that it may seem hard to even believe, but there was a time when the capital markets were driven primarily by news out of New York, London, Tokyo, and Beijing rather than Washington, D.C. Frankly, as market analysts and commentators, we long for a return to such a period when earnings announcements are […]

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02

March

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – February 2017

Winston Churchill sarcastically said that “democracy is the worst form of government except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time.” Right about now, there is probably about 50% of the American voting public that is prepared to take Churchill quite literally. However, it is not just that they […]

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26

December

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – December 2016

In his 1936 book entitled The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, economics pioneer John Maynard Keynes introduced the concept of “animal spirits” into the analysis of how the owners and managers of companies make business decisions and how investors make investment decisions. His premise was that strong company and/or macroeconomic fundamentals (earnings, interest […]

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29

November

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – November 2016

The most insightful comment from this year’s presidential election campaign may have come from the September 23rd edition of The Atlantic magazine, which said of President-Elect Trump, “The press takes him literally, but not seriously; his supporters take him seriously, but not literally.” Throughout the campaign, Trump was the ultimate enigma. From an investor’s perspective, […]

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24

August

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – August 2016

It is said that nothing will increase the readership of an investment commentary more than putting a bear (or three) on the cover. However, this is not our intent, nor is it our intent to suggest some kind of imminent decline in asset prices. To the contrary, while there is certainly an array of bearish […]

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25

April

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2016

Expectations and sentiment are incredibly important in regard to their influence on both the economy and the markets. In regard to markets, too much bullishness is bad, because it means that most of the potential buyers of securities have already bought, and that there is very little sideline cash remaining to drive the markets higher. […]

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