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June

23

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – May 2019

American author Mark Twain observed that, “History does not repeat itself, but it oftentimes rhymes”.  For evidence of just how insightful this perspective is, one needs to look no further than the Winter 1982 edition of Foreign Affairs Magazine, which noted that: “President Reagan won his office in part because he convinced the electorate that […]

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April

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2019

One of the core premises on which monetary policy is based is that there is a direct relationship between economic growth and inflation.  More specifically, prevailing economic theory maintains that strong economic data ultimately leads to both “full employment” and the full utilization of an economy’s productive capacity, and that both economic conditions, once they […]

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March

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – March 2019

If there is any single sentence that epitomizes how the Federal Reserve operated in the pre-Bernanke era, it is probably the reply given by then Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan during a 1987 testimony to the Senate Banking Committee.  He responded to a question by saying, “If I seem unduly clear to you, you must have […]

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April

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2016

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook April 2016

Expectations and sentiment are incredibly important in regard to their influence on both the economy and the markets. In regard to markets, too much bullishness is bad, because it means that most of the potential buyers of securities have already bought, and that there is very little sideline cash remaining to drive the markets higher. […]

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February

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – February 2016

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook Feb 2016

It seems like, all of a sudden, television and print media are full of stories about how the “stock market” may be entering into a “bear market,” and each respective reporter references one of the two most popular benchmark indexes (the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index and the NASDAQ Composite), neither of which has yet […]

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December

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – December 2015

1 - Per Stirling Outlook December 2015

Warren Buffett famously noted that “only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.” This quote has particular relevance today as we are finally starting to see free-market pricing mechanisms at work, as market-distorting forces ranging from the Federal Reserve’s expansive monetary stimulus programs to the O.P.E.C. oil cartel are increasingly […]

27

November

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – November 2015

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook - November 2015

  In December, we are likely to witness an extraordinarily unusual scenario of a major economic power (the United States) not only raising rates for the first time in over nine years, but also tightening monetary policy at a time when virtually all of the remaining industrialized world is moving their monetary policy in the […]

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August

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – August 2015

1 - Per Stirling Capital Outlook August 2015

  Author Jacob Braude is quoted as saying, “Always behave like a duck – keep calm and unruffled on the surface but paddle like the devil underneath”.  The markets seem to be taking Mr. Braude’s advice to heart, as the impression that they give from above belies entirely what is going on beneath the surface […]

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June

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – June 2015

1 - Per Stirling Capital Outlook June 2015

In 1841, Scottish journalist Charles Mackay first published his so-called “history of popular folly” titled Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds.  Among other things, it examined many of history’s most speculative asset bubbles, including the South Sea Company bubble of 1711–1720, the Mississippi Company bubble of 1719–1720, and the Dutch “tulip mania” of […]


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