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July

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – July 2019

A Wall Street analyst recently referred, in a CNBC interview, to the current stock market as a “wild west market” due to his reasonable observation that investors are ignoring the world’s many risks and are “throwing caution to the wind”.  However, while we believe that he makes a valid point, we think that it is […]

25

June

23

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – May 2019

American author Mark Twain observed that, “History does not repeat itself, but it oftentimes rhymes”.  For evidence of just how insightful this perspective is, one needs to look no further than the Winter 1982 edition of Foreign Affairs Magazine, which noted that: “President Reagan won his office in part because he convinced the electorate that […]

29

April

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2019

One of the core premises on which monetary policy is based is that there is a direct relationship between economic growth and inflation.  More specifically, prevailing economic theory maintains that strong economic data ultimately leads to both “full employment” and the full utilization of an economy’s productive capacity, and that both economic conditions, once they […]

29

March

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – March 2019

If there is any single sentence that epitomizes how the Federal Reserve operated in the pre-Bernanke era, it is probably the reply given by then Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan during a 1987 testimony to the Senate Banking Committee.  He responded to a question by saying, “If I seem unduly clear to you, you must have […]

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December

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – December 2016

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook - December 2017

In his 1936 book entitled The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, economics pioneer John Maynard Keynes introduced the concept of “animal spirits” into the analysis of how the owners and managers of companies make business decisions and how investors make investment decisions. His premise was that strong company and/or macroeconomic fundamentals (earnings, interest […]

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June

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – June 2016

Per Stirling Capital Outlook June 2016 - 01

We open this writing with a 1912 photograph of a man crash-testing a football helmet not only in recognition of the fact that the long-awaited start of football season is finally approaching, but also because there is probably great similarity between how this product tester felt 104 years ago and how most global equity investors […]

17

February

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – February 2016

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook Feb 2016

It seems like, all of a sudden, television and print media are full of stories about how the “stock market” may be entering into a “bear market,” and each respective reporter references one of the two most popular benchmark indexes (the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index and the NASDAQ Composite), neither of which has yet […]

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December

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – December 2015

1 - Per Stirling Outlook December 2015

Warren Buffett famously noted that “only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.” This quote has particular relevance today as we are finally starting to see free-market pricing mechanisms at work, as market-distorting forces ranging from the Federal Reserve’s expansive monetary stimulus programs to the O.P.E.C. oil cartel are increasingly […]

27

November

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – November 2015

01 Per Stirling Capital Outlook - November 2015

  In December, we are likely to witness an extraordinarily unusual scenario of a major economic power (the United States) not only raising rates for the first time in over nine years, but also tightening monetary policy at a time when virtually all of the remaining industrialized world is moving their monetary policy in the […]


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