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22

June

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – June

One of the traditional characteristics of equity markets is that they rarely spend much time priced at what most investors would consider to be “fair value”, and instead tend to trade back and forth between being undervalued and overvalued, relative to the economic fundamentals of the underlying companies.  These swings tend to take place over […]

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15

May

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – May 2020

One of the most time-honored and frequently recited Wall Street maxims came from renowned value investor Sir John Templeton, who famously observed that “The four most dangerous words in investing are, ‘it’s different this time.’” In this comment, Sir John is not suggesting that all bull and bear markets have the same catalysts, or even […]

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13

April

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – April 2020

One of our favorite perspectives on historical precedent comes from Mark Twain, who observed that “history does not repeat itself, but it oftentimes rhymes”.  Perhaps that has never been more true than is the case today. Back in the summer of 2012, the currency and debt crisis in Europe was growing so severe that many […]

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16

March

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – March 2020

There is likely no field of human endeavor where maxims and sage tidbits of wisdom are more revered and more often recited than is the case in the field of investing.  Indeed, you can point to these very reports as evidence of exactly that phenomena, as we emphasize the past wisdom and insight of others […]

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26

February

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – February 2020

As renowned investor Howard Marks famously noted, “In the real world, things fluctuate between ‘pretty good’ and ‘not so hot’, but in the investing world, things go from ‘flawless’ to ‘hopeless’”.  We have just witnessed a dramatic and violent example of such a transition. Until a week ago, we were in a “heads, the bulls […]

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29

January

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – January 2020

  The natural state for a capitalistic economy is expansion and, as evidenced by the fact that the domestic stock market has gained value in approximately 74% of all years, the path of least resistance for equity markets is up.  As such, it has historically been true that both the economy and equity prices normally […]

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20

December

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – December 2019

Renowned value investor, Sir John Templeton, coined one of the most insightful of all investing idioms when he observed that, “Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism and die on euphoria.” His observation applies to a psychological process that normally takes years to unfold, as market gains over time and […]

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26

November

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – November 2019

On November 13th of this year, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated, “I think the new normal is lower interest rates, lower inflation, probably lower growth, and you’re seeing that all over the world, not just in the United States.” This is a remarkable statement on many levels, starting with the fact that it is […]

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30

October

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – October 2019

Throughout the course of human history, there have been seminal and transformative events and decisions that have, as if one flipped a switch, fundamentally changed the outlook for the global economy and the global capital markets.  Examples of this phenomena are as diverse as they are rare, and include cases such as the fall of […]

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26

September

Per Stirling Capital Outlook – September 2019

The major global economies and markets remain mired in a “Catch 22” macroeconomic environment.  The term “Catch 22” first became a part of the American lexicon in 1961 thanks to the Joseph Heller novel of the same name, in which a disillusioned American bombardier fighting in World War II desperately seeks to avoid flying future […]

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